"Hvis du vil ydmyge nogen offentligt på en virkelig grov måde, så sørg for, at han ikke overlever for at tage sin uundgåelige hævn."Overtræder den på egen risiko.
Denne varige sandhed er blevet demonstreret af Ruslands handlinger i Ukraine, som i høj grad er kulminationen på de talrige ydmygelser, som Vesten under amerikansk tilskyndelse har påført Ruslands herskere og landet som helhed gennem de sidste 30 år. .
They have been treated as a sinner sentenced to accept the role of a penitent who, clad in sackcloth, marked with ashes, is expected to appear among the nations with head bowed forever. No right to have its own interests, its own security concerns or even its own opinions.
De er blevet behandlet som en synder, der er dømt til at acceptere rollen som en angrende, der, iklædt sæk, mærket med aske, forventes at dukke op blandt nationerne med bøjet hoved for evigt. Ingen ret til at have sine egne interesser, sine egne sikkerhedshensyn eller endda sine egne meninger.
Få i Vesten satte spørgsmålstegn ved levedygtigheden af en sådan recept for et land på 160 millioner, territorialt det største i verden, som besidder enorme ressourcer af kritisk værdi for andre industrinationer, teknologisk sofistikeret og forvalter af 3.000+ atomvåben. Ingen mafia-don ville have været så stump. Men vores linealer er skåret af et andet klæde, selvom deres strutten og indbildskhed ofte matcher mafiakaptainers [Eng.capos].
Kommentar: Delvist oversat af Sott.net fra The consequences of humiliating Russia
This is not to say that Russia's political class has been bent on revenge for a decade or two - like France after its humiliation by Prussia in 1871, like Germany after its humiliation in 1918-1919, or like "Bennie from the Bronx" beaten up in front of his girlfriend by Al Pacino in Carlito's Way.
Quite the opposite, for almost a decade.
Boris Yeltsin was content to play Falstaff to any American president who came along just for the sake of being accepted into his company (and allowing himself to be robbed blind in the process - economically and diplomatically).
'Golden Age of Russian Democracy'
Vladimir Putin, of course, was made of sterner stuff. He put an end to the buffoonery, successfully took on the Herculean task of reconstituting Russia as a viable state, and presented himself as ruler of an equal sovereign in cultivating relations with his neighbors. In addition, he insisted that the civil rights and culture of Russians stranded in the Near Abroad be respected.
Still, he gave no sign by word or deed that he contemplated using coercive means to restore the integration of Russian and Ukraine that had existed for more than 300 years. True, he opposed Western attempts to sever the ties between the two by incorporating Ukraine into their collective institutions - most notably the NATO declaration of 2008 stating that Ukraine (along with Georgia) were in the alliance's antechamber being readied for entrance.
Putin's restraint contrasted with the audacity of Washington and its European subordinates who instigated the Maidan coup toppling the democratically elected president and promoting an American puppet in his place. In effect, the United States has been Ukraine's overseer ever since - a sort of absentee landlord.
Putin's views about the preferred principles of organization and conduct that should govern inter-state relations have been elaborated in a series of speeches and articles over the years. The picture it draws is far different from the cartoonish distortion created and disseminated in the West. It clearly delineates ways and means to constrain and limit the element of conflict, above all military conflict, the requirement for rules-of-the-road that should serve as the systems software, the necessity of recognizing that the future will be more multipolar - yet more multilateral - than it has been since 1991.
Western leaders, and political class generally, have not accepted those propositions. Nor have they ever shown a modicum of interest in accepting Moscow's repeated, open invitation to discuss them. Rather, every attempt by Russia to act in accordance with that logic has been viewed through a glass darkly - interpreted as confirmation of Russia as an outlaw state whose dictatorial leader is bent on restoring a malign Russian influence dedicated to undermining the good works of the Western democracies.
This attitude has progressively lowered the bar on accusation and insult directed at Russia and Putin personally. For Hillary Clinton he was "a new Hitler" as far back as 2016, for Joe Biden he was a "killer," for Congress members a Satan using a bag of diabolical instruments to corrupt and destroy American democracy.
The obsession with Putin the Evil spread as Washington pushed its allies hard to join in the denunciation. The grossness of their personal attacks on Putin matched the ever-expanding scope of the accusations. In recent years, no election could be held in Europe without the leveling of charges that the Kremlin was "interfering" by some unspecified means or other - and at Putin's personal direction. The absence of evidence was irrelevant. Russia became the pinata there to be smashed whenever one felt the urge or saw a domestic political advantage.
None of the above discussion is meant to suggest that Russia's foreign policy, in particular the invasion of Ukraine, can be personalized or reduced to the level of feelings and emotions. Putin himself constantly displays an exceptional emotional and intellectual discipline. Putin is not a "Benny from the Bronx." He does not act on impulse nor does he allow his judgment to be clouded by considerations of a purely individual nature.
Russia had tangible grounds for concerns about the implications of developments in Ukraine and trends in Eastern Europe generally that jeopardized the country's security interests. The thinking of Putin and his associates about how to deal with them expressed carefully thought out analyses and strategies - as surely did the eventual decision to take military action.
Revenge per se was less significant than what Western treatment of Russia since 1991 augured for the future. In other words, the constant reinforcement of hostile images and intentions, as felt by Moscow, via the steady barrage of attacks and accusations colored the way that Russian leaders assayed the prospects for alleviating the threats they saw in Western actions - including their conduct throughout 2022.
Comment: Or it did, and over the decades it has come to fruition.
Over the years, every sign of a Russia rising from the ashes fed latent, if inchoate, fears of the bear coming out of hibernation. Instead of recognizing that the post-Yeltsin political elite resented the decade of disparagement and humiliation, and taking steps to compensate for it (e.g. carving out a place for Russia in Europe's post-Cold War political configuration), anxiety led the West down the exact opposite course. Putin's Russia was painted in ever more frightening caricatures while shunning became the order of the day.
Demonstrations of Russia's growing self-confidence, and unwillingness to be pushed around - as in southern Ossetia in 2008 and then more stunningly in Syria in 2015, quickly evoked all the old Cold War images and set the pre-primed alarm bells ringing.
Ignorance of Russian realities, coupled with the demonization of Putin whose actual thoughts didn't interest them, Western leaders and pundits fretted that their master plan for an American overseen global system was being jeopardized. Now from the old enemy - Russia, and the new enemy - China. One set of anxieties reinforces the other.
Back in the 1990s, the humiliation of Russia logically could have been followed by the traditional mafia act of termination. Forestall any form of retaliation by killing off the victim. Of course, it is a lot harder to liquidate a country than an individual and his close associates.
It has been done, though. Think of Rome razing Carthage. After victory in the Second Punic War, the Romans were in a position to act on Cato's admonition: "Carthage must die !" Legend has it that they sowed the fields with salt.
That, of course, is nonsense - the Romans were not that dumb. The Carthogenian lands became one of the empire's two great granaries. They reconstituted the state and put in place a security apparatus that served their practical interests. (Rome didn't even have to repopulate the place since most of the inhabitants were partially 'Punicized' ethnic Berbers who gradually became partially Romanized Berbers. As, today, Maghrebis are Arabized Berbers for the most part).
Roman pragmatism, in this respect, can be contrasted with Germany's readiness to cut itself off from vitally needed Russian natural gas supplies; admittedly, the Romans were not obeying orders from a United States that doesn't rely on energy resources from Russia.
Genghis Khan and the Golden Horde, too, acted in accordance with their version of the liquidation strategy. It worked. The Abbasid dynasty and all the other states they destroyed never were in a position to wreak revenge. The Mongols and their Turkic auxiliaries avoided retribution and suffering at the vengeful hands of the countries they ravaged.
There are other methods as well for permanently eliminating a foe. Genocide is the most extreme - as implemented by Belgium in the Congo, the Germans in Namibia and the European occupiers of North America. Dismemberment is another. The tripartite division and annexation of Poland is the outstanding example. The total breakup of Ottoman Turkey as envisaged at Versailles is another.
A few people in Washington did promote the idea of executing a similar strategy against the Soviet Union/Russia. Beyond enlarging NATO so as to render prospects for a Russian revival as a European power nugatory, they envisaged breaking up the country into a number of fragmented parts. The Polish-born Zbigniew Brzezinski is the best known of these Mongol acolytes. Washington's unrelenting efforts to build a permanent wall between Ukraine and Russia grows out of this soil; so, too, assiduous efforts to provide aid and comfort to anti-Russian elements in Georgia, Azerbaijan, Belarus and Kazakhstan (as recent events in the last three signify).
The Western approach toward post-Soviet Russia which entailed marginalization and attendant humiliation was favored for a number of reasons, as summarized above. We should add that there was an additional, facilitating factor at work. The chosen strategy was much easier to implement - intellectually and diplomatically. Its simplicity appealed to Western leaders sorely lacking in the attributes of astute statesmanship. That disability skews their attitudes and policies to this day.
About the Author:
Michael Brenner is a professor of international affairs at the University of Pittsburgh. email@example.com